2021 MLB playoffs: Rays vs Red Sox odds, ALDS Game 3 picks, proven computer model predictions

Fenway Park hosts a high-profile American League Division game on Sunday afternoon. The Boston Red Sox welcome the Tampa Bay Rays to town for the first of two games at Fenway, with the best of five series tied at 1-1. Tampa Bay started with a shutout in Game 1 on Thursday. Boston responded with a 14-6 blowout in Game 2, stealing home field advantage with a victory at Tropicana Field.

The first pitch is at 4:07 p.m. ET in Boston. Caesars Sportsbook lists Boston as the favorite -115 (risk $ 115 to win $ 100) on the silver line, while the over-under, or the total number of races that Vegas thinks it will be scored, is 8.5 in. the latest Rays vs Red Sox odds. Before making a choice between the Red Sox and the Rays, be sure to check out the MLB playoff predictions and betting tips from SportsLine’s proven model.

This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, enters the 2021 MLB playoffs with a record 206-173 on MLB’s top money line picks, grossing well over $ 800. He also had an outstanding 2019 season, the last full league schedule, bringing in over $ 1,400 on his top rated MLB picks in silver line and racing line. Anyone who follows him has seen huge returns.

Now the model has set his sights on the Red Sox against the Rays and he just revealed his picks and analysis of the 2021 MLB playoffs. You can head over to SportsLine now to see the picks. Now here are several MLB playoff odds and trends for the Rays vs. the Red Sox:

  • Silver line Rays vs Red Sox: Rays +105, Red Sox -115
  • Rays against Red Sox over-under: 8.5 races
  • Spokes vs. Red Sox: Radius -1.5 (+150)
  • TB: The Rays are 48-33 on the road this season
  • BOS: Red Sox are 49-32 in 2021 home games

Featured Game | Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Why you should support the Rays

Tampa Bay had the best statistical season of any team in the American League, winning 100 games and leading the AL in points differential, passing its opponents by 206 points. The Rays are very strong offensively, scoring 857 points (No.2 in AL) and ranking in the top five in homers (222), doubles (288), goals (585), stolen goals (88 ), hit percentage (.428) and OPS (.749).

Brandon Lowe and Mike Zunino each eclipsed 30 homers in 2021, and Randy Arozarena made 11 homers in just 100 career playoff appearances. With this attack and the No. 1 group of the AL in the ERA team (3.69), the marches (436) and the relievers ERA (3.24) on the race prevention side, the Rays plan to be effective in this game. Starting pitcher Drew Rasmussen has a 2.84 ERA this season, and his last eight starts have been excellent with a 1.46 ERA.

Why should you support the Red Sox

Boston has the advantage of playing in front of their home fans, and the Red Sox also have a reliable starting pitcher on the mound. Nathan Eovaldi has a career 1.63 ERA in the playoffs and had six shutouts in Boston’s win over the New York Yankees. Eovaldi also has a solid 3.47 ERA at Fenway Park this season and, in four starts against the Rays, he’s generated 31 strikeouts in 26.1 innings en route to a 2.39 ERA.

Eovaldi should have enough support to be comfortable, as the Red Sox were among the top four teams in the American League in terms of points, total bases, batting average, OPS, stroke percentage and doubles this season. Boston has also had the best home OPS (.831) in the major leagues this season, with an exceptional base percentage of .350 at Fenway Park.

How to make Red Sox vs Rays picks

The model looks at the total, projecting 9.7 combined passes. It also states that one side of the silver line hits over 60% of simulations. You can only get this choice at SportsLine.

So who wins the Rays against the Red Sox? And which side of the margin reaches more than 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Red Sox vs. Rays you have to jump, all from the model who crushed him, the MLB picks, and find out.

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